Il faut absolument faire un nouveau point sur El Niño.

El Niño is a natural meteorological phenomenon characterized by the warming of part of the Pacific Ocean and occurs every two to seven years, adding to the consequences of human-caused climate change.

• The UN estimates nearly 100% probability that El Niño will persist until February 2027, peaking toward year's end • The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration gives it a 75% chance of becoming the strongest ever recorded

• Torrential rains in normally dry regions, such as the southern United States • Preventive state of emergency declared in California due to storm and flood risks • Formation of Hurricane Polo, category 5, with winds exceeding 260 km/h near Mexico • Deployment of nearly 20,000 security and rescue personnel in Mexico

El Niño can also trigger severe droughts in Central America, Southeast Asia, and Africa, with India already implementing emergency measures including wheat reserves and enhanced monitoring systems.

The Climate Impact Lab, a team of scientists, economists, and engineers based in Chicago, estimates that consequences of heat linked to El Niño could be devastating.

• Approximately 451,000 additional deaths from heat could occur between June 2026 and February 2027 compared to a normal year • The estimate accounts only for heat-related deaths, not those from floods, droughts, or fires • The Sahel region would be hardest hit with 66,800 potential additional deaths, nearly half in Nigeria • Southeast Asia faces 19,400 additional deaths feared in the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia

These figures are projections that could evolve; the aim is not to frighten but to identify risks for better anticipation and population protection.

The World Food Programme estimates approximately 50 million additional people risk acute food insecurity by end 2027 and is implementing preventive measures, especially for countries already facing poverty and conflict.

Pope Leo XIV spoke with migrants at Bakhita House, a Paris diocesan organization supporting exiled persons, and called for better welcoming and support of migrants.

Since his election in May 2025, Leo XIV has regularly advocated for refugees and has repeatedly criticized Donald Trump's immigration policy in the United States.

The Pope celebrated mass at Place de la Concorde before 700,000 people, with political figures including Marine Le Pen, Gabriel Attal, and Édouard Philippe present, but without Emmanuel Macron.

The Pope leaves Paris Saturday evening for Lourdes, where he will celebrate mass Sunday in this Catholic city welcoming millions of visitors annually.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump rejected Iran's peace plan and is considering resuming bombardments.

The plan provided for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a key maritime passage for global commerce, and ending hostilities for 7 days; in exchange, Iran demanded lifting the blockade on its ports, unfreezing Iranian funds, and easing oil sanctions.

Trump privately doubts Iran will accept his demands and considers another round of bombardments likely, according to anonymous U.S. officials cited by the media.

Before the war, roughly one-fifth of global hydrocarbons transited the Strait of Hormuz; Iran claims readiness to reopen it if the United States honors commitments from the agreement signed in June.

Dozens of climate marches and rallies were organized across France this Saturday following a summer marked by heat waves, significant drought, and numerous fires.

Jean-François Juliard, director of France Nature Environment, raises fears of "environmental amnesia" if these events are quickly forgotten when the school year begins.

• A climate emergency plan with increased funding to adapt the country to extreme heat and natural disasters • Measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions • More funding for climate change adaptation • Greater contributions from fossil fuel companies and wealthiest households

This mobilization occurs months before the 2027 presidential election; organizations want to restore climate to the debate's center and influence the 2027 budget discussed this autumn in Parliament.

Far-right activists Loïc Le Priol and Romain Bouvier were sentenced to 26 and 19 years in prison for the murder of Federico Martin Aramburu, a former Argentine rugby player shot in Paris in March 2022.

After a brawl in a Paris café, Romain Bouvier fired first and wounded the victim twice, then Loïc Le Priol opened fire, inflicting fatal wounds to the back.

Both defendants denied intending to kill and rejected premeditation charges: Le Priol claims he fired in self-defense, Bouvier maintains he intended warning shots.

Both men, former GUD activists, had a fascination with weapons and certain fascist or Nazi symbols raised at trial, but this political dimension and racism were not retained as aggravating circumstances.

France's first match under new coach Zinedine Zidane ended in a 1-0 victory thanks to a goal by Kylian Mbappé.

The forward suffered a left knee injury on his shot attempt and is sidelined for France's next three Nations League matches; he returns to Madrid to continue treatment with Real.

France's next match is against Belgium this Monday evening.

The Blues are competing in the Nations League, a European competition pitting national teams every two years; in their group, France faces Turkey, Belgium, and Italy with the goal of qualifying for the next stage.