
Mais à quoi joue Poutine ?
The threat of hybrid warfare that Russia is waging is real and documented.
13 chapters
- Alert in Eastern EuropeOverviewThe European Union is on alert following potential Russian threats targeting Lithuania, Poland, and Latvia, prompting NATO to scramble fighter jets.ContextSeveral European leaders, including Emmanuel Macron, assert that Russian attacks could intensify in the coming months.Key conceptHybrid warfare is a method used to pressure Europe without openly declaring war, combining cyberattacks, sabotage, propaganda, and electoral interference.ObjectiveProvide the most factual assessment possible of what is currently known about the situation and Vladimir Putin's objectives.
- Night of Incidents in Eastern EuropeTimeline• Around 9 p.m., Lithuanian military reports potential air threat in its airspace, NATO aircraft take off. • Around 11 p.m., Polish military mobilizes air forces due to possible Russian rocket and missile fire near Polish border. • Flights to Vilnius suspended due to unidentified objects.AccusationVilnius airport suggests a hybrid attack carried out by Belarus, Russia's direct ally that helped Putin invade Ukraine in 2022.ReactionsNeither Russia nor Belarus has responded to these accusations; Russia regularly claims it has no intention of threatening Europe.PrecedentsRussian drone entries into European territories have multiplied in recent months, making Europe and NATO particularly vigilant.
- Increasingly Urgent WarningsStatementsPolish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that Russia could launch a drone or missile attack on NATO territory in the coming months.Feared scenarioAccording to Polish intelligence services, Russia could claim any incident is accidental, with drones actually targeting Ukraine but landing in a NATO country.Sabotage exampleIn 2024, a shopping mall near Warsaw caught fire; after 121 days of investigation, Polish services accused Russian intelligence of being responsible.DiplomacyThese warnings come weeks after the CIA director's visit to Russia, intended to deter Russia from attacking NATO.
- What Are Putin's Objectives?First objectiveApply pressure on several countries through hybrid warfare to push certain governments to reduce their support for Ukraine, for fear of escalation.Second objectiveTest NATO unity to see how member states would react if a Russian drone or missile actually struck a NATO country.NATO Article 5An armed attack against one member is considered an attack against all, but this does not imply automatic entry into war for all countries; Donald Trump significantly nuances this point.Tusk's analysisAccording to Donald Tusk, Russia's objective would be to convince NATO members that Article 5 is more theoretical than practical.
- A Goal of Psychological Intimidation?Alternative hypothesisSome specialists and NATO members believe Russia's objective is not necessarily to attack or actually invade a country, but to sow worry among populations.Intended effectWeaken European countries by affecting the morale of populations.Diplomatic cautionAccording to The Guardian, some senior European diplomats have asked leaders to moderate their public statements for fear of feeding panic within their societies.Debate on capacitiesMany officials believe that given Russia's difficulties in Ukraine, it may not have the means to open a new front against a NATO country.
- Caution and Uncertainty Over Real IntentionsWarningIn 2022 already, most specialists did not think Russia would attack Ukraine on a large scale; nobody truly knows Vladimir Putin's intentions.Situation in UkraineRussia is not in a strong position on the ground in Ukraine and is suffering economically from the ongoing situation.Observed trendStatements by European heads of state on this subject have multiplied in recent days, notably Emmanuel Macron who will give an interview Thursday to TF1 and France 2.UpcomingHugo announces the upcoming release of a documentary filmed on the ground in Poland, as part of the documentary series Enquête, as well as a comic book already available on Russia.
- Government Fuel MeasuresFiscal golden ruleSébastien Lecornu proposes to enshrine a golden rule on fuel tax in the 2027 budget: if the state collects more VAT than expected due to rising prices, the extra money would be returned to French citizens.Opposition criticism• Thomas Ménager (RN): measure that appears completely fake. • Mathilde Panot (LFI): calls it a magic trick.Fuel allowanceThe heavy commuter scheme, a €100 allowance for modest households, will be extended from 3 million to 5.5 million French citizens, automatically paid to former recipients.Other sectorsExtension until December 31 of schemes for fishermen, farmers, and construction sector, particularly affected by the crisis.
- Budget Cuts in Green TransitionAnnounced reductionThe government plans to cut ADEME's budget by over 30%, the agency for green transition, even as summer was the hottest ever recorded.FiguresThe budget would drop from €800 million in 2026 to €500 million in 2027, with the heat fund (dedicated to renewable energy) particularly affected.Contested benefitsIn 2025, minister Monique Barbut said this fund helped reduce gas imports, saving €2 billion, with every €1 invested generating €3.72 in investment.JobsElimination of 30 positions at ADEME, which has over 1000 employees; the budget must be voted on in early October.
- Macron Meets Trump in New YorkMeetingEmmanuel Macron met Donald Trump Monday in New York for a discussion he described as very constructive, lasting about 30 minutes.Middle EastMacron proposed initiatives to limit rising oil prices, aiming to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, blocked by Iran, through a UN Security Council resolution.UkraineMacron emphasized the importance of helping Ukrainians faster and more strongly with interceptors against Russian air threats.Discussed moratoriumThe two presidents discussed the idea of a moratorium to stop attacks on energy infrastructure (refineries, dams, thermal plants).
- Media Tensions Around TrumpNetwork boycottABC, CBS, NBC, and Fox News decided to stop covering Donald Trump, in support of CNN, MSNBC, and Politico banned from the White House.Conflict originTrump banned these three outlets Friday, accusing them of writing negatively about him and threatening national security.Legal retaliationThe three outlets announced they would sue in the name of press freedom, with a first hearing scheduled Wednesday.Trump TVIn response, the Trump administration launched Trump TV, a live video stream on YouTube broadcasting former presidential speeches.
- Typhoon Ragasa Strikes JapanTollThe typhoon's passage killed at least four people and left over 46,000 homes without power, with six people missing after landslides.DamageOver 460 homes were damaged; 832 mm of rain fell in 48 hours on Oshima island, roughly equivalent to annual rainfall in mainland France.PrecautionsOver 1.6 million Tokyo residents and surrounding areas were advised to evacuate and over 275 flights were canceled.Climate contextThe typhoon is now moving away and most alerts have been lifted, but climate change makes such extreme events more frequent and intense.
- Alert on Ultra-Processed Protein ProductsFoodwatch alertThe NGO warns about 10 protein-rich products that are actually highly ultra-processed.Flagged products• Nature Valley cereal bars, too sugary. • Lion Protéines cereal. • Lactel chocolate drinks. • Carrefour salad containing potassium disulfite.Ultra-processing markersModified starches, glucose syrup, flavorings, and certain additives, including one linked to increased type 2 diabetes risk.NGO requestFoodwatch denounces misleading marketing of these products presented as healthy and calls for mandatory labeling of ultra-processing on the front of packaging.
- Good News of the DaySolidarity challengeStreamers Zebro and Léo walked nearly 15 hours non-stop live on Twitch, covering 47 km.PrincipleEach step contributed 1 cent to a charitable fund.Result€8,000 were raised and will be given to Assaut de forêt, which buys land in France to plant trees and create protected spaces.ConclusionEnd of broadcast with reminder of the comic book on Russia available in description, see you tomorrow for a new video.





