Trump perd le contrôle de la guerre, explications

On February 28, the United States and Israel jointly bombed Iran, killing Supreme Guide Ali Khamenei and hundreds of civilians in an attack that violated international law, appearing to show complete alignment between the two countries.

• Israel conducted significant bombing operations on Iranian fuel depots one week into the war, surprising the United States with the scope of the attack • Israel bombed the South Pars gas field, which supplies 70% of Iran's natural gas, prompting Iran to strike Qatar's liquefied natural gas facility and raising global energy prices

Israel shows a stronger desire for regime change in Iran, while the United States has different objectives focused on weakening rather than toppling the Iranian government.

• Trump claimed via Truth Social that Israel 'violently retaliated in anger' and that the US knew nothing about the attacks, using language typically reserved for enemy strikes • Israeli media and US outlets including CNN and Financial Times reported the bombings were coordinated with the United States in advance, contradicting public statements

The war is broadly approved by the Israeli population despite significant humanitarian and civilian casualties, providing strong domestic backing for continued military operations.

• The longer the war continues, the more Netanyahu is protected from elections that could go against him • His coalition depends on far-right ministers who want the war to continue in Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza • Netanyahu faces corruption trials that are being postponed due to the war

Israel views Iran as an existential threat and considers regime change necessary, while Iran regularly denies Israel's right to exist as a state.

Netanyahu's personal and political interests could push Israel toward prolonged military engagement in the region.

• Rising oil and gas prices from the conflict directly reduce purchasing power for Americans • Prolonged war increases costs to the US economy • US allies in the Gulf, which host American military bases, are paying a heavy price from Iranian strikes

• Trump campaigned on 'America First' and criticized long Middle Eastern wars, creating risk of appearing hypocritical • Upcoming midterm elections cannot be delayed and could cost Trump politically • His advisors have already requested he prepare a rapid exit from the war

If the conflict continues, the risk of regional escalation increases and the US may need to increase involvement to protect allies.

Trump announced on Truth Social his intention to gradually reduce American military operations in the Middle East against Iran.

• Nearly 1,500 people killed in Iran • Nearly 18 killed in Israel • Nearly 21 killed in Gulf states • Over 1,000 killed in Lebanon with more than one million displaced

• Israel has bombed over 2,000 targets linked to Hezbollah since beginning operations in Lebanon • The United States and Israel bombed the Natanz nuclear enrichment site, Iran's largest uranium refinement facility • No radioactive leaks detected but international atomic agency called for military restraint

Specialists estimate the war is slipping beyond Trump's control, meaning even if he wants to withdraw tomorrow, the conflict may continue independently.

Despite each party's intentions, the war carries absolutely enormous humanitarian consequences that continue to expand across the region.

• Israeli army announced Saturday bombing campaign on Beirut targeting Hezbollah after ordering residents to evacuate southern suburbs • Hezbollah is an Islamist political party and armed organization defined as terrorist by the European Union and many countries • On March 2, Hezbollah attacked Israel to avenge the death of Supreme Guide Ali Khamenei

Hezbollah is closely aligned with Iran and has been extensively covered as a key player in the regional conflict.

• The Natanz site refines uranium for either energy production or potentially weapons depending on enrichment level • The US and Israel accuse Iran of wanting to develop nuclear weapons, which Iran denies • International Atomic Energy Agency called for military restraint to avoid nuclear accidents

No radioactive leaks detected following the bombardment and residents of surrounding areas are not in immediate danger.