
Game Theory: Mario's LUNAR APOCALYPSE!! (Super Mario Odyssey)
How many moons does it take to get to New Donk City?
7 chapters
- Introduction and SetupOpening HookMatPat demonstrates counting moons like lollipops, consuming 48 moons and feeling sick, setting up the theme of the episode.Game Overview• Super Mario Odyssey features diverse kingdoms including Rainbow Forks and a Dark Souls-like environment • New Donk City's residents are over 10 feet tall compared to Mario's canonical height of 5 foot 1 inch • The moon is the final location in the gameCore MysteryThe moon represents a bigger threat to Mario and the Mushroom Kingdom than Bowser, comparable to the planetary catastrophe in Majora's Mask.MethodologyThe theory will use mathematical formulas and physics to explain why the moon poses such a threat to Mario's world.
- Planet and Moon MeasurementsMeasurement Challenge• Attempted pixel measurements but found no consistent reference points • Tried measuring steps but stages don't show whole continents • Attempted Al-Biruni's method using mountain heights but couldn't establish horizon distance • Examined globes, brochures, and promotional materials without successAlternative ApproachIssued the Mario Odyssey Challenge to viewers, stating there is no definitive way to prove Mario's planet and moon actual size from the game alone.Key Finding• Found two frames in the overworld map showing moon and planet side-by-side • Moon's radius is about 30% of the planet's radius • Verified by model in New Donk City: planet radius equals 3.3 moon radiiRoche Limit ConceptIntroduced by Reddit user JohnsonAndJohnCena, the Roche Limit is the critical distance a moon must maintain from a planet to avoid being torn apart by gravity.
- Gravitational PhysicsGravity Fundamentals• All objects are held together by their own gravity, forming spheres as material pulls toward the center • Everything has gravitational force, from large planets to small objects like people • Earth's continents rise about 50 centimeters due to the moon's gravitational pullProximity EffectsWhen celestial objects move closer together, the larger object's gravity can exceed the smaller object's internal cohesive forces, tearing it apart.Saturn's Rings ExampleSaturn's rings are believed to have formed when a small moonlet orbited too close and was pulled apart by Saturn's gravity, with pieces now orbiting as rings.Earth's Roche LimitEarth's Roche Limit is 18,470 kilometers (about 11,470 miles), or about one-twentieth the current orbital distance of our moon.
- Calculating Mario's GravityMass Calculation MethodMass equals acceleration times radius squared divided by the gravitational constant. Acceleration is found by measuring how fast Mario falls after jumping.Mushroom Planet Gravity• Mario's normal jump has downward acceleration of 70.16 m/s², seven times Earth's gravity • This is three times Jupiter's gravity and over double any other 3D Mario game • Mario feels heavier not from weight gain but from the planet's extreme gravityMoon GravityThe moon has acceleration of 11.74 m/s² or 1.19 g-forces, showing how much higher Mario could jump under that gravity.Mass Results• Planet mass: 1.14×10¹³ r² kilograms • Moon mass: 1.75×10¹¹ r² kilograms
- Roche Limit CalculationDensity DeterminationDensity equals mass divided by volume. For spheres, volume is calculated as 4/3π times radius cubed, resulting in specific density values for both planet and moon.Formula ApplicationRoche Limit equals 2.4 times the planet's radius times the cube root of the planet's density divided by the moon's density.Critical ResultMario's planet Roche Limit is 9.66 moon radii. If the moon orbits within this distance, it will be slowly torn apart by the planet's gravity.Actual DistanceUsing in-game compass and trigonometry, the moon is positioned at approximately 5.5 moon radii from Earth, placing it well within the Roche Limit and confirming it is being torn apart.
- Catastrophic ConsequencesCurrent Impact• Massive moon rocks and multi-moons scattered across the Mushroom Kingdom are direct evidence of the moon being torn apart • These fragments are visibly present both in the overworld and on the moon itselfFuture ScenarioWhen Earth's sun becomes a red giant, our moon will be pulled from orbit, cross the Roche Limit, and be torn apart, creating temporary rings but showering the planet with debris.Predicted Destruction• Massive pieces of lunar debris will destroy land • Ocean tides will be thrown into chaos • The planet will face extinction-level waves of space rock impactsMario's AccelerationMario accelerates this process in the final battle by destroying huge chunks of the moon's core, hastening the catastrophe.
- Conclusion and Sponsor MessageTheory SummaryThe mathematics and science prove that Mario's moon is currently within the Roche Limit and is already being eaten alive by the planet's gravity, creating the scattered moon rocks throughout the game.Broader Implications• This explains why Shiver Star in Kirby appears as a cold dead Earth • This suggests Mario travels the galaxy seeking a new home due to the coming apocalypseSponsor IntegrationHoney browser extension automatically finds coupons and saves money on online purchases across major websites like Amazon, Forever 21, and Groupon.Final MessageViewers are encouraged to use joinhoney.com/matpat to install Honey and save money before the Mushroom Kingdom is destroyed by its falling moon in a few million years.





